Public beta: We're actively testing and looking for testers. Your feedback helps improve migraine forecasting.

The Science of Weather & Migraines

Exploring the link between atmospheric changes and migraine attacks.

📚 Latest Meta-Analysis & Key Studies

Meta-Analysis: "Association between weather conditions and migraine" (2025)

This comprehensive analysis combined 31 studies up to December 2024 and found a significant link: approximately 47% of people report weather changes as migraine triggers. Specific factors include higher temperature (OR 1.15), changing ambient pressure (OR 1.07) significantly associated, while humidity was not statistically significant (OR 1.04). Air pollutants such as PM₂.₅, PM₁₀, NO₂, CO, and O₃ also raised migraine risk.

Read the full study in Journal of Neurology

Denney (2024) – "Whether Weather Matters with Migraine"

About 49% of migraineurs self-report weather as a trigger. Relative humidity rises of ~26% were linked to ~28% greater odds of an attack—especially in warm seasons. Temperature and pressure effects varied across studies; some showed no significant association.

Read the full study (PMC)

Latest Observation Study (2023 – Headache Journal & JNS)

Low barometric pressure, pressure fluctuations, high humidity, and rainfall were associated with increased headache frequency.

Read the full study

Weather, Ambient Air Pollution & Migraine Risk (Li et al., 2019)

This cohort study found that low pressure, high humidity, and exposure to traffic-related pollution significantly increased the odds of migraine onset during warm seasons.

Read the full study

🔍 Mechanisms & Emerging Perspectives

Meteoropathy: The Weather-Pain Connection

Meteoropathy—the emerging field connecting weather shifts to physiological symptoms like migraines—suggests that barometric pressure drops, humidity spikes, and temperature swings can activate the autonomic nervous system, alter hormone levels, or affect blood‑oxygen saturation, heightening pain sensitivity.

Lightning Proximity

One study found a 31% increase in migraine frequency on days with lightning within ~25 miles.

Climate Change Impact

Research indicates that every 10°F rise in temperature may increase headache occurrence by ~6%.

⚠️ Limitations & Individual Variability

Understanding Research Limitations

Mixed Results

Some studies report modest or inconsistent effects of specific variables (e.g., humidity or temperature). Sample sizes, study designs (cross-sectional vs. diary-based), and subjective reporting all influence outcomes.

Confounding Factors

Lifestyle changes, time spent outdoors, physical activity, and seasonal routines can distort associations unless controlled for—some newer causal models suggest an interaction between weather and behavior.

Individual Differences

The most critical factor is individual sensitivity. What triggers one person may not affect another. This is why personalized tracking is key to understanding your own patterns.

Access & Link Reliability

We aim to provide accurate, useful information and cite primary sources wherever possible. However, links may change over time ("link rot"), and some journals are behind paywalls. When a link breaks or requires access, we recommend searching the DOI, checking preprint or institutional repositories, or contacting us—we'll do our best to keep references current.

The Science of Weather and Migraines

Between 30% and 50% of migraine sufferers identify weather as a trigger—making it among the most frequently cited triggers.[1] While individual experiences vary significantly, scientific research continues to explore these connections.

Most Reported Weather Triggers:

  • Barometric pressure changes
  • Temperature fluctuations
  • High humidity
  • Strong winds

Key Research Findings:

  • ~47% of patients in a meta-analysis reported weather as a trigger for their headaches.[2]
  • Drops in barometric pressure of more than 5 hPa were linked to a significant increase in migraine frequency.[3]
  • Higher temperatures are associated with an increased number of emergency department visits for headache.[1]
  • Air pollution, especially from traffic, can compound the effects of weather and increase migraine risk.[4]

📊 Notable Studies

Denney (2024) – "Whether Weather Matters with Migraine"

About 49% of migraineurs self-report weather as a trigger. Relative humidity rises of ~26% were linked to ~28% greater odds of an attack—especially in warm seasons. Temperature and pressure effects varied across studies; some showed no significant association.

Read the full study (PMC)

Latest Observation Study (2023 – Headache Journal & JNS)

Low barometric pressure, pressure fluctuations, high humidity, and rainfall were associated with increased headache frequency.

Read the full study

Weather, Ambient Air Pollution & Migraine Risk (Li et al., 2019)

This cohort study found that low pressure, high humidity, and exposure to traffic-related pollution significantly increased the odds of migraine onset during warm seasons.

Read the full study

🔍 Mechanisms & Emerging Perspectives

Meteoropathy: The Weather-Pain Connection

Meteoropathy—the emerging field connecting weather shifts to physiological symptoms like migraines—suggests that barometric pressure drops, humidity spikes, and temperature swings can activate the autonomic nervous system, alter hormone levels, or affect blood‑oxygen saturation, heightening pain sensitivity.

📚 References

  1. American Migraine Foundation. (n.d.). *Weather and Migraine*. Retrieved from americanmigrainefoundation.org
  2. Pellegrino, A. B. W., Davis-Martin, R. E., Houle, T. T., & Turner, D. P. (2017). Perceived triggers of primary headache disorders: A meta-analysis. *Cephalalgia*, 38(6), 1188-1198. (As cited in Denney, D. E., et al. (2024). Whether Weather Matters with Migraine. *Current Pain and Headache Reports*, 28, 181–187).
  3. Okuma, H., et al. (2011). Influence of barometric pressure in patients with migraine headache. *Internal Medicine*, 50(18), 1995-2000.
  4. Mukamal, K. J., Wellenius, G. A., Suh, H. H., & Mittleman, M. A. (2009). Weather and air pollution as triggers of severe headaches. *Neurology*, 72(10), 922–927.

Your Personal Weather-Migraine Connection

While science provides a framework, your own data is the most powerful tool. By tracking your migraines alongside local weather conditions, you can uncover the specific patterns that affect you. This is the first step toward proactive management and fewer migraine days.

Check Your Personalized Forecast